A recent Leger poll indicates that while discussions around Alberta’s potential separation from Canada have intensified, the majority of Albertans still oppose the idea. The survey, conducted in early May 2025 among 1,000 Alberta adults, reveals nuanced perspectives on provincial identity and separatism.

Identity and Support for Separation

The poll found that 44% of respondents primarily identify as Canadian, 21% as Albertan, and 32% equally as both. Among those identifying chiefly as Canadian, 60% oppose Alberta or western separation. Conversely, 45% of those who see themselves primarily as Albertan support separation, highlighting a correlation between provincial identity and separatist sentiment.

Preferences for Independence Scenarios

When presented with various scenarios for Alberta’s future:

35% support the idea of Alberta, Saskatchewan, British Columbia, and Manitoba forming an independent country.

30% favor Alberta and Saskatchewan becoming an independent nation together.

29% back Alberta becoming a country independent of Canada.

17% support Alberta joining the United States as a state.

These figures suggest that while there’s some appetite for alternative arrangements, full independence or U.S. statehood remains a minority position.

Motivations Behind Separatist Sentiments

Supporters of independence or greater separation often cite economic reasons, including concerns over resource management, taxation, and federal policies. Feelings of underrepresentation and a desire for self-governance also contribute to the support for separatism. The poll indicates that 62% of participants believe residents in other parts of Canada don’t understand why some Albertans feel estranged from the rest of the country.

Legislative Developments

In the wake of the federal election on April 28, Alberta’s government introduced Bill 54, aiming to make it easier to initiate citizen-led referendums, including those on separation. The proposed changes include lowering the threshold for initiating a referendum from 20% to 10% of voters from the last election and extending the signature collection period from 90 to 120 days. Premier Danielle Smith stated that this bill was always planned, regardless of the federal election outcome.

While separatist sentiments have gained renewed attention, the Leger poll underscores that a significant majority of Albertans currently prefer to remain within Canada. The evolving political landscape and legislative changes may influence future discussions on Alberta’s relationship with the federal government.

Source; City News